9月3日,一艘土耳其护卫舰停靠以色列北部港口城市海法。据悉,这是北约地中海演习计划的一部分,也是自2010年以来土耳其海军舰艇首次停靠以色列港口。
BRUSSELS -- Two Swedes were killed in a shooting late Monday in central Brussels, police said, prompting Belgium’s prime minister and senior Cabinet minister to hunker down at their crisis center for an emergency meeting.It was not immediately clear if the shooting was linked to terrorism, or to the international uproar over the Israel-Hamas war.“A horrible shooting in Brussels, and the perpetrator is actively being tracked down,” said Interior Minister Annelies Verlinden, adding that she joining government talks at the National Crisis Center. Media reports aired amateur videos showing a man shooting several times near a station using a large weapon.A police official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to reporters, said the two victims were Swedes. The Swedish national soccer team was scheduled to play Belgium at Heysel Stadium later in the evening, some 3 miles (5 kilometers) away. Police spokeswoman Ilse Vande Keere said officers arrived soon at the scene, and sealed off the immediate neighborhood. She declined to elaborate on circumstances of the shooting. The shooting came a a time of increased vigilance linked to the ongoing Israel-Hamas war that has heightened tension in several European nations. At the same time, the Belgian capital has been the scene of increased violence linked to increasing international drug trafficking.。历史上,土耳其曾是以色列在中东地区的重要战略伙伴。1948年,以色列宣布建国后,土耳其是第一个承认以色列的伊斯兰国家。随后,两国建立伙伴关系。近年来,因两国在巴勒斯坦、库尔德、东地中海油气开发等问题上存在重大分歧,导致双方关系波折不断。2018年,美国驻以色列大使馆从特拉维夫迁至耶路撒冷,引发巴勒斯坦民众大规模抗议示威,并与以军发生冲突。土耳其随后召回驻以大使,并驱逐以色列大使及驻伊斯坦布尔总领事,土以关系陷入低谷。直至今年6月,随着以色列新政府上台,两国开始加大接触力度。8月17日,以色列总理办公室发表声明,宣布与土耳其恢复外交关系,将重新互派大使和总领事。

B | 此次以色列允许土耳其军舰停靠,是两国关系改善的重要举措。土以关系不断升温,符合双方现阶段的利益诉求。

C | 对以色列而言,土耳其是中东地区大国和北约成员国,以色列与其保持良好关系,可获得与北约加强合作的契机。以色列国防军在近日发布的一份声明中称,此次允许土方护卫舰停靠海法,是以色列与北约合作的一部分,充分显示了以方对北约的支持。此外,在伊核协议谈判取得进展之际,以色列也希望借此拉拢更多国家孤立伊朗。对于土耳其而言,因此前较为强硬的对外政策引发中东多国不满,为改善处境,土耳其从2020年起开始调整政策,主动与包括以色列在内的地区国家修复关系。同时,以色列是美国的铁杆盟友,与其实现关系正常化可以促进土耳其与美国关系的改善,从而获取更多利益。从未来发展趋势看,虽然在各自利益诉求和发展需要的驱动下,土以两国都在为恢复两国关系努力,但这并不意味着两国关系可以快速升温。两国仍然在多个重要议题、特别是巴勒斯坦问题上存在重大分歧。土耳其外长恰武什奥卢表示,土以互派大使并不意味着土方放弃在巴勒斯坦问题上的立场。

D | 此举表明土耳其虽有意愿与以色列重归旧好,但仍将巴以问题视为双边关系的“政治红线”。在此情况下,两国关系升温势头能否持久,还有待观察。

E | (作者系国防科技大学国际关系学院副教授 方晓志)